The yield curve is often seen as one of the better early warning indicators for a recession. Since 2022, the yield curve is inverted again and warning of a recession which has not happened so far, ...

Since the Fed’s rate cut at the end of October, the entire yield curve from the 3-month Treasury yield to the 30-year ...

After a little over two years, the yield curve is back to normal. That is to say, interest rates on longer-term bonds are once again higher than the interest rates of shorter-term bonds like two-year ...

Daniel Liberto is a journalist with over 10 years of experience working with publications such as the Financial Times, The Independent, and Investors Chronicle. Michael Boyle is an experienced ...

When the 2-year Treasury yield eclipsed the 10-year Treasury yield on July 5, 2022, it caught many investors’ attention. The event — commonly dubbed a yield curve inversion — was largely viewed as a ...

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2024 has been a record-setting year for the market. So far this year, the S&P 500 has notched a whopping 22 record closing highs… the Dow has hit 17 record closing highs (and came within 0.5% of ...

Here’s a short presentation by Aswath Damodaran on the recent inverted yield curve and whether there is a signal in the noise. He writes: On December 4, 2018, the yield on a 5-year US treasury dropped ...

How worried should investors and policy makers be about the possibility of an inverted yield curve—a historical predictor of future recessions and bear markets in stocks? The yield curve is the most ...

Those five words, declared by an otherwise mild-mannered college economics professor, were forever seared into my mind and have stuck with me all these years. Not only was the professor’s advice sage, ...

NEW YORK (AP) — One of the most reliable warning signals for a recession just got a bit brighter. The signal is called the "yield curve," and it shows how the bond market is feeling about the U.S.