After a little over two years, the yield curve is back to normal. That is to say, interest rates on longer-term bonds are once again higher than the interest rates of shorter-term bonds like two-year ...
Daniel Liberto is a journalist with over 10 years of experience working with publications such as the Financial Times, The Independent, and Investors Chronicle. Michael Boyle is an experienced ...
For the first time since 2007, the short end of the yield curve inverted, and the longer-term end is not far behind. Bloomberg calls this signal a ‘harbinger of doom.’ Is that fear mongering or is it ...
The yield curve is a graphical representation that plots the interest rates of bonds with equal credit quality but varying maturity dates. A normal yield curve slopes upward, indicating higher ...
Since the Fed’s rate cut at the end of October, the entire yield curve from the 3-month Treasury yield to the 30-year ...
The inverted yield curve is one of the more reliable recession indicators. I discussed it at length last December. At that point, we had not yet seen a full inversion. Now we have, and it appears the ...
Adam Hayes, Ph.D., CFA, is a financial writer with 15+ years Wall Street experience as a derivatives trader. Besides his extensive derivative trading expertise, Adam is an expert in economics and ...
Nearly two-thirds of strategists polled by Reuters say an inverted yield curve has diminished as a reliable recession indicator. The yield curve has been inverted for 20 months without a recession ...
Those five words, declared by an otherwise mild-mannered college economics professor, were forever seared into my mind and have stuck with me all these years. Not only was the professor’s advice sage, ...